[1]付姗姗,张笛,张明阳,等.北极水域船舶航行环境风险影响因素识别[J].哈尔滨工程大学学报,2017,38(11):1682-1688.[doi:10.11990/jheu.201606050]
 FU Shanshan,ZHANG Di,ZHANG Mingyang,et al.Identification of environmental risk influencing factors for ship operations in Arctic waters[J].hebgcdxxb,2017,38(11):1682-1688.[doi:10.11990/jheu.201606050]
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《哈尔滨工程大学学报》[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
38
期数:
2017年11期
页码:
1682-1688
栏目:
出版日期:
2017-11-25

文章信息/Info

Title:
Identification of environmental risk influencing factors for ship operations in Arctic waters
作者:
付姗姗123 张笛12 张明阳12 严新平12
1. 武汉理工大学 智能交通系统研究中心, 湖北 武汉 430063;
2. 国家水运安全工程技术研究中心, 湖北 武汉 430063;
3. 上海海事大学 海洋科学与工程学院, 上海 201306
Author(s):
FU Shanshan123 ZHANG Di12 ZHANG Mingyang12 YAN Xinping12
1. Intelligent Transportation System Research Center, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430063, China;
2. National Engineering Research Center for Water Transport Safety, Wuhan 430063, China;
3. College of Ocean Science and Engineering, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 201306, China
关键词:
北极水域通航环境风险影响因素风险识别层次分析法模糊集合蒙特卡洛仿真
分类号:
U698.6
DOI:
10.11990/jheu.201606050
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
针对北极水域船舶航行所面临的复杂环境风险的识别问题,本文提出了北极水域船舶航行环境风险因素的层次分析模型。针对风险因素识别中面临的不确定性问题,结合层次分析法、模糊集合(三角模糊数)和蒙特卡洛仿真,提出了基于蒙特卡洛仿真的模糊层次分析法,并运用该方法识别北极水域船舶航行重要环境风险因素。从数据和模型两方面对环境风险因素识别研究的合理性进行了分析与验证,研究结果表明:风、能见度、海冰密集度和气温是影响北极水域船舶航行安全的重要环境风险因素。

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2016-06-17。
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(51579203).
作者简介:付姗姗(1987-),女,讲师,博士;张笛(1983-),男,副研究员.
通讯作者:张笛,E-mail:zhangdi@whut.edu.cn.
更新日期/Last Update: 2017-11-30